Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.121507 0.134351 0.147534 0.162048 0.177551 0.193583 0.211389
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.105914 0.125892 0.147416 0.172196 0.199803 0.229486 0.263680
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.094374 0.119473 0.147658 0.181327 0.220126 0.263118 0.314034
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.081465 0.109446 0.142093 0.182408 0.230258 0.284662 0.350600
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.069057 0.098348 0.133812 0.178991 0.234082 0.298181 0.377466
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063437 0.094827 0.134000 0.185156 0.248869 0.324321 0.419095
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057937 0.090766 0.132934 0.189296 0.260866 0.346991 0.456667
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052626 0.086350 0.130902 0.191781 0.270506 0.366653 0.490636
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.047438 0.081550 0.127891 0.192595 0.277736 0.383184 0.520769
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047056 0.083489 0.133915 0.205331 0.300373 0.419150 0.575291
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043476 0.080386 0.132722 0.208194 0.310078 0.438844 0.609696
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040695 0.078212 0.132613 0.212369 0.321427 0.460648 0.646896
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036739 0.074085 0.129748 0.212991 0.328573 0.477876 0.679537
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035653 0.074486 0.133534 0.223107 0.348830 0.512583 0.735244
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034616 0.074862 0.137250 0.233183 0.369214 0.547772 0.792080
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031480 0.071358 0.134801 0.234125 0.376860 0.566115 0.827146
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027509 0.065969 0.129058 0.229905 0.377059 0.574408 0.849067
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026362 0.065547 0.131084 0.237211 0.393534 0.604642 0.900063
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024823 0.064237 0.131564 0.242124 0.406619 0.630406 0.945381
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023042 0.062272 0.130825 0.245075 0.416857 0.652358 0.985804
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021064 0.059700 0.128893 0.246040 0.424143 0.670276 1.020947
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021621 0.062342 0.135915 0.261174 0.452354 0.717304 1.095601
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.020217 0.060755 0.135547 0.264569 0.463305 0.740539 1.138374